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A/B Testing File Size (Monthly) Formula

Learn how to estimate the monthly data-transfer change caused by serving an A/B test variant with a different page file size.

This calculation estimates the monthly bandwidth difference between running an A/B test and serving the control page to every tested pageview. It helps quantify whether the variant reduces or increases transferred data while the experiment is live.

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Monthly Bandwidth Difference

Monthly difference (GB) = V × P × (S ÷ 100) × (Fv − Fc) ÷ 1,000,000

Where:

Estimate tested pageviews, find the share sent to the variant, then multiply it by the difference between variant and control file sizes. Divide by 1,000,000 to convert kilobytes to gigabytes.

Variables Explained

VariableWhat It MeansUnit
V - monthlyVisitorsExpected number of unique visitors who generate views of the tested page during the month.visitors
P - pageviewsPerVisitorAverage number of tested-page views generated by each visitor.pageviews
S - variantTrafficSharePercentage of tested pageviews allocated to the variant.percent
Fc - controlFileSizeAverage transferred size of the control experience per tested pageview.KB per pageview
Fv - variantFileSizeAverage transferred size of the variant experience per tested pageview.KB per pageview

Step-by-Step Calculation

1

Estimate monthly tested pageviews

Multiply expected visitors by average tested-page views per visitor.

monthlyPageviews = monthlyVisitors * pageviewsPerVisitor

2

Allocate pageviews to the variant

Apply the variant traffic percentage to total tested pageviews.

variantPageviews = monthlyPageviews * (variantTrafficShare / 100)

3

Allocate pageviews to the control

The remaining tested pageviews are assigned to the control.

controlPageviews = monthlyPageviews - variantPageviews

4

Calculate control transfer

Multiply control pageviews by the control file size and convert KB to GB.

controlTransferGb = controlPageviews * controlFileSize / 1000000

5

Calculate variant transfer

Multiply variant pageviews by the variant file size and convert KB to GB.

variantTransferGb = variantPageviews * variantFileSize / 1000000

6

Compare the test with the all-control baseline

Subtract the transfer required by an all-control experience from total test-period transfer. A negative result represents estimated data savings.

monthlyBandwidthDifferenceGb = (controlTransferGb + variantTransferGb) - (monthlyPageviews * controlFileSize / 1000000)

Example: 50/50 test of a lighter page variant

Monthly visitors100,000 visitors
Pageviews per visitor2 pageviews
Variant traffic share50%
Control page file size1,500 KB per pageview
Variant page file size1,200 KB per pageview
1

Monthly tested pageviews

100,000 × 2

200,000 pageviews

2

Variant pageviews

200,000 × 50%

100,000 pageviews

3

Control transfer

100,000 × 1,500 ÷ 1,000,000

150 GB

4

Variant transfer

100,000 × 1,200 ÷ 1,000,000

120 GB

5

A/B test transfer

150 + 120

270 GB/month

6

Difference from all-control baseline

270 − (200,000 × 1,500 ÷ 1,000,000)

-30 GB/month

Final Result

The A/B test is estimated to transfer 270 GB per month, which is 30 GB less than the 300 GB all-control baseline. That is a 10% reduction.

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Assumptions

  • File-size inputs represent the average number of kilobytes transferred for each tested pageview.
  • One GB is treated as 1,000,000 KB for this bandwidth estimate.
  • The selected variant traffic share remains stable over the month.
  • Each tested pageview is assumed to receive either the control or variant experience.
  • The comparison baseline is that all tested pageviews use the control file size.

Limitations

  • !Browser caching and repeat visits can reduce actual asset transfers compared with a per-pageview estimate.
  • !Device, connection, geography, compression, and personalization can cause file sizes to vary.
  • !Lazy-loaded assets may not be transferred on every pageview.
  • !The result estimates data volume only; it does not estimate CDN, hosting, or bandwidth charges.
  • !Bot traffic and changes in monthly traffic can make actual totals differ from the estimate.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

1

Entering the total site pageviews instead of pageviews for the page included in the experiment.

2

Using an encoded or uncompressed asset size rather than the average transferred page weight.

3

Entering 0.5 for a 50% split when the field expects 50.

4

Excluding images, scripts, fonts, or other assets that are normally downloaded with the tested experience.

5

Interpreting a negative difference as an error; it indicates lower estimated transfer than the all-control baseline.

Related Formulas

Frequently Asked Questions

How is A/B test bandwidth difference calculated?

It is the variant pageview count multiplied by the difference between variant and control file size, converted from KB to GB. The result is negative when the variant is lighter.

Why does the control traffic cancel out in the main formula?

The test and the all-control baseline both include control-sized transfer for control traffic. The difference comes only from pageviews assigned to the variant.

What does a negative monthly bandwidth difference mean?

It means the A/B test is estimated to transfer less data during the month than serving the control to all tested pageviews.

How do I calculate the percentage bandwidth change?

Divide the monthly bandwidth difference by all-control transfer, then multiply by 100. A negative percentage indicates lower estimated transfer.

Does this formula include cached assets?

Not separately. Use average transferred file sizes that reflect the caching assumptions appropriate for your measurement method.

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